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Sunak’s promise to ‘stop the boats’ is a gift to Nigel Farage – because it’s doomed to fail

As Tory MPs headed off for their half-term break this week, they were reassured that they will soon finally get what some have been demanding for years: “tough” new laws to tackle Channel migrant crossings.

In a pep talk to the 1922 Committee of backbenchers, Home Secretary Suella Braverman made plain that the new “stop the boats” legislation would indeed be published when Parliament returns.

After a bruising first few weeks in office, Rishi Sunak certainly wants to be seen as a man of action on the whole topic of asylum and illegal immigration. The issue was one of his five New Year priorities for 2023, and the “stop the boats” slogan has been plastered prominently behind him at every “PM Connect” event he’s staged since.

At first, the small print of Sunak’s immigration pledge seemed to set the relatively easy task of just getting fresh legislation passed. “We will pass new laws to stop small boats”, it said. Yet through accident or design, this has now morphed into a concrete pledge to actually halt the crossings.

Unfortunately, it’s a lot easier to get a bill through Parliament than it is to stem the flow of dinghies from the French coast.

We’ve been here before, of course. It was Priti Patel who as Home Secretary made a similarly foolish pledge in November 2021 to “prevent 100 per cent of crossings”. That was a doubling down of her promise on taking office in 2019 to halve the crossings within three months.

Spoiler alert: Patel didn’t hit her target. In fact, the numbers have soared a hundredfold in the last three years. Latest figures show that more than 45,000 people crossed the Channel in small boats in 2022, up 60 per cent on the year before, which was itself a record high.

With Border Force insiders forecasting the total may go up to 80,000 crossings in 2023, it’s unlikely ministers will be able to claim a reduction in numbers – let alone “stopping” them completely.

Still, Sunak clearly hopes the forthcoming legislation will have an impact. It is expected to place a legal duty on the Home Office to deport migrants who arrive illegally or enter the UK indirectly through a safe third country without permission.

Overall, Tory MPs hope the legislation will make it easier to implement the Government’s plan to deport asylum seekers to Rwanda processing centres, without getting overturned in either the British courts or the European Court of Human Rights.

But even if the policy gets through the courts, there is little evidence to show that either a tougher legal process or the Rwanda plan will actually deter people from making the Channel crossing in the first place.

For many Tory MPs the real issue is the increased number of asylum seekers now staying in hotels and other temporary accommodation in their constituencies.

What really would have more impact on refugee numbers would be clearing the huge backlog in asylum applications that have built up in recent years. One of the most startling statistics of last year was that the Home Office only processed four per cent of the claims of 2021 Channel crossers.

Recent analysis by the Refugee Council concluded that at least 60 per cent of the men, women and children who risked the dangerous crossing last year would be given refugee status.

If the claims processing system were speeded up, that would help all those genuine refugees on the path to becoming wage-earners and contributors to British society, while allowing faster deportation of those who were deemed economic migrants.

To be fair, Sunak has made another more practical pledge on this very issue, promising that he would clear by the end of 2023 the backlog of claims made up to last July.

Immigration minister Robert Jenrick claimed this week that there had already been “excellent progress” in recruiting more caseworkers, establishing dedicated teams “per nationality” and designing a more streamlined process, “which is already raising productivity substantially”. That, plus closer working with French police, could be more effective than any new legislation.

Yet ultimately, the key to reducing Channel crossings may lie in providing safer, legal routes to asylum in the UK. Four in 10 of those risking the route are from Afghanistan, Iran, Syria, Sudan and Eritrea. Campaigners point out that safe route numbers are 75 per cent down on pre-pandemic rates, and family reunion visas have fallen by 36 per cent.

The Ukraine refugee scheme has shown how the UK can act humanely, and the opening of our borders to British nationals from Hong Kong has been a huge success, injecting entrepreneurship and talent into our economy. As I’ve written before, another key reform would be to let more asylum seekers work in the UK while waiting for their claim to be settled.

It’s true that migration is driven by complex forces, but when desperate people with family or other ties to the UK are denied legal routes, it’s perhaps no surprise they resort to illegal entry. Creating safe routes would hit the people’s smugglers’ callous business model, and reduce the risks of yet more tragedies in the sea this year.

There’s some chatter in Whitehall that Sunak actually does plan to expand legal routes later this year, but feels he will only have the political space to do so if he gets his tough legislation out first. As he runs out of time to get the boat numbers down, that may prove to be a strategic blunder.

More broadly, Sunak’s big political error feels like a repeat of David Cameron’s pledge to get net migration below 100,000 a year. That was a millstone that hung round his Government’s neck, and it’s arguable that his failure to meet it helped fuel the rise of Nigel Farage, and in turn Brexit itself.

The promise to halt Channel crossings could be even more risky than Cameron’s, with Farage’s Reform party just itching to seize on rising numbers to take a bite out of Tory support at the next election. Instead of quietly getting on with a pragmatic approach, his promise will shine a spotlight of blame on his Government on the issue of immigration itself.

Sunak may already be riding for a fall on his other New Year pledge to cut NHS waiting lists this year. But by repeatedly promising, and then failing, to “stop the boats”, he may stop the votes the Tories need to stay in power.

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Exceptional Philanthropy: Tural Aliyev Generosity Transforms Lives in Northern Cyprus

Tural Aliyev, an extraordinary entrepreneur whose journey of success is only matched by his dedication to giving back to the community. Starting from humble beginnings in large corporations, Tural’s commitment to helping others remained unwavering as he ventured into the realms of real estate and car gallery businesses. His achievements not only showcase financial prosperity but also the profound impact one can make when driven by genuine altruism.

Tural’s real estate business in Northern Cyprus, Sun Republic, has become a trailblazer in the industry.

With an unparalleled understanding of the market and a relentless pursuit of excellence, Tural has brought forth architectural marvels that redefine the skyline. Luxurious residential complexes and awe-inspiring commercial spaces stand testament to his commitment to quality and innovation. Notably, Tural’s emphasis on sustainability sets him apart, as his projects incorporate eco-friendly technologies, showcasing his dedication to preserving the environment.

Beyond his business accomplishments, Tural’s philanthropic endeavors have left an indelible mark on countless lives. Through substantial donations and unwavering support, he has sponsored educational programs, funded scholarships, and actively championed charitable causes, embodying a deep sense of corporate social responsibility.

«In the dynamic real estate market of Northern Cyprus, Sun Republic has emerged as a leading company, delivering exceptional results and garnering a reputation for excellence,» Tural remarks. Through meticulous market analysis and personalized solutions, Sun Republic has become a trusted partner for investors from various countries. The company’s dedication to client satisfaction and transparency has fostered long-lasting relationships built on trust and reliability.

Tural Aliyev’s vision for the future encompasses creating vibrant communities where homes are sanctuaries promoting happiness and harmonious living. His commitment to sustainability and economic growth has positioned him as a visionary leader in the real estate and car dealership industries in Northern Cyprus.

In line with his vision, Tural can be found on Instagram @aliyev, sharing his journey and philanthropic initiatives. For more information about Sun Republic and its exceptional services, visit sunrepublic.vip.

With a heart that beats for the betterment of society and a visionary mind that shapes the future, Tural Aliyev continues to leave an inspiring legacy of excellence and positive impact in Northern Cyprus.

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Entrepreneur Adnan Ashraf Partners with Crypto Crowdfunding Platform to Expand Nine Restaurant Brand Globally

Adnan Ashraf, a multifaceted entrepreneur with interests spanning pharmaceuticals, technology, and real estate, is embarking on an exciting new venture to expand the renowned Nine restaurant brand into a global franchise. With its reputation for upscale Japanese cuisine and stunning panoramic views, Nine has captured the attention of discerning diners worldwide, and Mr. Ashraf aims to bring this exceptional dining experience to numerous locations across the globe.

To realize his ambitious expansion plans, Mr. Ashraf has engaged in discussions with a pioneering crypto crowdfunding platform, forging a strategic partnership for a joint venture involving 100 stores with an estimated investment of $120 million. Harnessing the power of cryptocurrency, Mr. Ashraf intends to expedite the growth of the Nine franchise and achieve his objectives more efficiently.

The first milestone in this expansion journey involves acquiring a prime waterfront location in Canary Wharf, a prestigious business district in London. Serving as the flagship Nine restaurant, this iconic setting will exemplify the brand’s exquisite cuisine and offer guests unparalleled views. Mr. Ashraf’s vision extends beyond this initial location, as he plans to continue expanding into other prime spots in London and beyond, introducing the Nine dining experience to cosmopolitan cities worldwide.

By partnering with a cryptocurrency crowdfunding platform, Mr. Ashraf aims to tap into the immense potential of this innovative funding mechanism. Cryptocurrency not only streamlines the investment process but also attracts a global community of investors passionate about supporting groundbreaking ventures in the hospitality industry. This collaboration is expected to fuel the rapid expansion of the Nine franchise, ensuring that more diners can savor its exceptional culinary offerings and immerse themselves in the extraordinary ambiance that defines the brand.

Drawing on his extensive entrepreneurial experience, Adnan Ashraf brings a wealth of expertise to this venture. His track record of success across various sectors attests to his ability to navigate complex business landscapes and identify unique opportunities for growth. With his diverse business interests and unwavering commitment to excellence, Mr. Ashraf is poised to spearhead the global expansion of the Nine restaurant brand, establishing a network of exceptional dining establishments worldwide.

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Alexey Ivanov Alliance Rental: Redefining Luxury Travel Experiences

Alliance Trucks, the leading Japanese and Korean car dealer in Russia, is proud to announce the launch of its new luxury transport rental aggregator, Alliance Rental. The project is the brainchild of Alexey Ivanov, the CEO and owner of Alliance Trucks, a successful businessman, traveler, and blogger. With over 59 countries visited, Alexey Ivanov has gained valuable experience in the automotive industry, which he has leveraged to create Alliance Trucks, a company that generates a trade revenue of $50 million annually.

Founded in 2014, Alliance Trucks has become the biggest Japanese and Korean car dealer in Russia, with four authorized and certified workshops, warehouses in the capital, and numerous certificates of first dealer with top-rated sales and service quality. The company’s mechanic team has won different national and international competitions of professional skills, including the ISUZU GRAN PRIX, where they were the first Russian and second in the world.

Alexey Ivanov’s awareness and commitment to 10 corporate rules have enabled Alliance Trucks to achieve its current status as a respected and reputable brand in the automotive industry. The rules include prioritizing emotional intelligence, respecting corporate culture and business ethics, seeking opportunities for growth in every crisis, and being socially active and engaged in charitable projects.

Alliance Parts, Alexey Ivanov’s latest venture, is a cars and spare parts distribution business in the United Arab Emirates with a global partnership with different car brands. The company leverages Alexey’s life and professional experience to scale similar projects in different market areas.

Alliance Rental is Alexey Ivanov’s latest project, an aggregator that offers a one-stop-shop for luxury transport rentals. The project’s main idea is to provide all the luxury transport rentals that customers may need for emotional holidays, celebrations, dream realization, business meetings, or just for premium lifestyle in one mobile application.

The application, marketing brand, and all business processes are complete, and legal compliance with local laws, rules, and regulations is under process.

Alliance Rental offers taxi Rolls-Royce, luxury sport cars, yachts, helicopters, and aircraft rentals. Partnerships with operators of luxury services are currently being signed, and the project is ready to launch soon.

Alexey Ivanov’s mission is to make the world a better and cleaner place, live a long, bright, and memorable life, create a family, raise children, create and invent something that deeply touches the feelings of people, be a mentor, teach knowledge, and leave a significant mark in history, society, and culture.

For more information on Alliance Rental and Alexey Ivanov, follow him on Instagram at @a.a.ivanov

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